PUBLIC-INTEREST EVIDENCE RADAR

Evidence, without
the false score.

A small, source-linked monitor of official products across economics, environment, health, culture, and governance.

14 source checks 5 watchlists built 2026-07-24T14:09:14Z
01 / READING RULE

A calendar is not a conclusion.

This is a source-check schedule and evidence inventory, not a composite score or a claim that every domain is comprehensively covered.

Every card states what was last verified, when its source will be checked again, and what must stay separate when the evidence changes. Schedule labels describe monitoring work—not whether the world is improving or worsening.

02 / FIRST OBSERVATION DIFF

Revisions are now visible.

The 2026-07-24T10:00:00Z release from CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis added 2 new monthly index observations and revised 24 retained earlier values. 2 older points left the bounded 13-month compact window.

These labels describe changes between source publications and extraction outcomes. They are not trend or impact judgements. Prior-only points are counted separately because a bounded rolling window is not itself an extraction failure.

This is the first normalized publisher, not complete cross-domain revision coverage. The full event records are in the machine-readable view.

03 / SOURCE INVENTORY

Next checks, in order

culture 1 · economics 5 · environment 5 · governance 1 · health 2

economics finance

Global liquidity indicators

Bank for International Settlements

BIS portal last-release marker 2026-06-15

Scheduled
2026-07-31T00:00:00Z +6.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
official date time unknown
How to compare this evidence

Prefer exchange-rate- and break-adjusted year-on-year growth; compare currencies, instruments, and emerging-market borrowers rather than only the dollar stock.

Limits

  • The series measures foreign-currency credit in US dollars, euros, and yen to non-bank borrowers, not all global credit or market liquidity.
  • The data are not seasonally adjusted.
  • Historical observations change when underlying BIS or national inputs are revised.
governance institutional-process

Selection and appointment of the tenth Secretary-General

United Nations General Assembly and Security Council

Six active public candidacies and six individual dialogues; town hall held 2026-07-23; Council selection expected to begin by end-July

Scheduled
2026-08-01T00:00:00Z +7.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Update the formal state only from joint nomination or withdrawal letters, an official Security Council communication or recommendation, and the General Assembly appointment action; treat public dialogues and unofficial poll reports separately.

Limits

  • Article 97 gives the Security Council the recommending role and the General Assembly the appointing role.
  • Security Council Rule 48 requires the recommendation to be discussed and decided in private.
  • Further nominations may be made during the process, and the public Council calendar may not disclose private selection activity.
environment carbon

Mauna Loa monthly atmospheric carbon dioxide

NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

June 2026 preliminary mean: 431.44 ppm; June 2025: 429.61 ppm; portal updated 2026-07-05

Scheduled
2026-08-06T00:00:00Z +12.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Compare the same calendar month year over year, then inspect the seasonally adjusted trend; use NOAA's global marine-boundary-layer product for a global concentration claim.

Limits

  • Mauna Loa is one high-altitude Northern Hemisphere station, not a global surface average.
  • The annual seasonal cycle is larger than a typical month-to-month trend change.
  • The most recent year remains preliminary pending calibration and quality control.
economics prices

FAO Food Price Index

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

June 2026 index, released 2026-07-03

Scheduled
2026-08-07T00:00:00Z +13.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
official date time unknown
How to compare this evidence

Read month-on-month and year-on-year changes together, then decompose cereals, oils, meat, dairy, and sugar.

Limits

  • This is an international commodity-price index, not household food inflation or an affordability measure.
  • Weights reflect 2014-2016 export shares rather than current household consumption.
  • Recent meat-price inputs mix observed and projected quotations and can cause revisions.
environment temperature

Global Climate Report, cross-checked with Copernicus ERA5

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information

June 2026: NOAA second-warmest June at +1.09 C versus the twentieth-century average; ERA5 second-warmest at +0.56 C versus 1991-2020

Scheduled
2026-08-10T00:00:00Z +16.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Record rank and anomaly within each dataset and unchanged reference period; inspect land and ocean separately, using ERA5 rank and direction as a cross-check.

Limits

  • NOAA and ERA5 use different analysis systems and anomaly baselines.
  • Recent monthly observations are preliminary and can be revised.
  • A monthly global anomaly is not a long-term threshold determination or local impact estimate.
environment sea-ice

Monthly global sea-ice analysis and Sea Ice Index

NOAA/NCEI and NOAA at NSIDC

June 2026: global fourth-smallest, Arctic third-smallest, and Antarctic sixth-smallest monthly extent in the 48-year record

Scheduled
2026-08-10T00:00:00Z +16.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Compare Arctic and Antarctic monthly extent separately against the same climatology and record; use daily five-day means only for situational context.

Limits

  • Extent counts cells with at least 15 percent concentration and is not ice area, volume, or thickness.
  • NSIDC's daily graph uses a five-day trailing mean while NOAA's monthly rank uses a monthly average.
  • Arctic and Antarctic changes have different geography, seasonality, and mechanisms.
environment ocean-heat

Global Ocean Heat and Salt Content

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information

WMO 2025 annual synthesis reports record ocean heat content; NOAA quarterly product checked 2026-07-24

Scheduled
2026-08-15T00:00:00Z +21.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Track 0-2000 m and 0-700 m series separately with uncertainty, basin decomposition, and revisions; compare like quarter with like quarter where seasonality matters.

Limits

  • Ocean heat content is distinct from sea-surface temperature and marine heatwave area.
  • Depth ranges and historical observing systems have different coverage.
  • Quarterly and historical fields can be revised as observations and quality control change.
health surveillance

Measles and Rubella Global Situation Update

World Health Organization

July 2026 update; 12-month incidence window covers June 2025 through May 2026

Scheduled
2026-08-15T00:00:00Z +21.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Compare the same rolling observation window using data-received month, reporting Member States, incidence denominator, surveillance sensitivity, and final-classification mix.

Limits

  • The update is provisional and includes only Member States submitting monthly or weekly surveillance data.
  • Reporting delay, case definitions, laboratory capacity, and surveillance sensitivity differ across countries and revisions.
  • Provisional monthly counts are not directly interchangeable with annual Joint Reporting Form cases or modelled disease burden.
economics activity

World Trade Monitor

CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

May 2026 observations, released 2026-07-24

Scheduled
2026-08-25T10:00:00Z +31.8d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
official schedule
How to compare this evidence

Read month-on-month together with the non-annualised three-month momentum and prior-month revisions; inspect trade and industrial production separately.

Limits

  • Trade covers merchandise, not services; production covers industry excluding construction.
  • The newest observations are preliminary, seasonally adjusted, and commonly revised.
  • Calendar effects and country-specific shocks can dominate one month.
economics outlook

World Economic Outlook

International Monetary Fund

July 2026 partial update, released 2026-07-08

Scheduled
2026-10-01T00:00:00Z +68.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Compare revisions against the prior vintage for both the current and following year; record changed assumptions and the breadth of country coverage.

Limits

  • The WEO is an annual-frequency forecast system, not a monthly or quarterly activity measure.
  • January and July updates cover only a subset of economies, unlike the full editions.
  • Forecast revisions can reflect changed assumptions, data vintages, or judgment as well as new realized activity.
culture strategy

Refreshed Maihi Karauna

Te Puni Kōkiri and Te Taura Whiri i te Reo Māori

The existing Maihi Karauna remains active while a refreshed strategy is developed for publication in 2026; no exact date was published on the page checked

Scheduled
2026-10-01T00:00:00Z +68.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Compare governance roles, target populations, age universes, proficiency thresholds, language-use domains, transmission measures, and 2040 targets; do not treat a renamed or redefined indicator as a continuous trend without a published concordance.

Limits

  • The publisher says the refresh will be available in 2026 but gives no exact release date, so this is a planning checkpoint.
  • The current Crown strategy remains active until its replacement is published.
  • Maihi Karauna's one-million target concerns basic ability and confidence, while Maihi Māori's one-million target concerns use in community immersion domains.
environment sea-level

Global Mean Sea Level and component indicators

NASA Sea Level Change Team

Portal readout on 2026-07-24: 100.1 mm since 1993; ocean mass 2.0 +/- 0.3 mm/year; steric height 1.3 +/- 0.2 mm/year

Scheduled
2026-10-01T00:00:00Z +68.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Record the portal value, baseline, access date, and mass and steric component estimates; use a regional relative-sea-level product for coastal decisions.

Limits

  • The live portal readout can change as observations and processing are updated.
  • Global mean sea level is not relative sea level at a particular coast.
  • Component rates and total accumulated change use different units and should not be added without aligned periods.
health coverage

WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage

World Health Organization and UNICEF

2025 WUENIC revision completed 2026-07-15 using inputs reported through 2026-06-21

Scheduled
2027-07-15T00:00:00Z +355.4d
Last verified
2026-07-24
Date basis
cadence checkpoint
How to compare this evidence

Use the newest revision's full historical series; compare DTP1 access, DTP3 completion, MCV1 and MCV2, HPV coverage, zero-dose counts, and target gaps separately.

Limits

  • WUENIC combines country reports, surveys, other evidence, bias assessment, and expert review; it is not a simple administrative count.
  • The 2025 global estimate extrapolates 2024 values for non-reporting countries representing about 5% of the cohort.
  • Historical values are revised annually, so comparisons against headlines from older published revisions can be misleading.
04 / BOUNDARY

Useful now. Deliberately incomplete.

The first CPB observation diff is live, but the wider view remains an evidence inventory rather than a finished revision engine. It covers selected global products and one live institutional process; it is not a complete account of any domain and cannot support local decisions by itself.

Download the machine-readable view